izindaba

Imakethe ye-polyethylene ibhekene nengcindezi ekhulayo yokuhlinzeka, ikakhulukazi okukhiphayo okukhona kanye nokwandiswa komthamo we-HDPE yikhona kakhulu, isiqondiso sokuthuthukiswa kwe-polyethylene.I-HDPEimakethe ikhathazekile.

Kusukela ngo-2018 kuya ku-2027, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-polyethylene waseChina uyaqhubeka nokukhula, ngokunwetshwa okukhulu kakhulu ngo-2020 kanye nokukhiqizwa okukhulu okuhleliwe ngo-2025. Ukwandiswa kulindeleke ukuthi kuhambe kancane ngo-2026, futhi umthamo wokukhiqiza we-polyethylene wasekhaya kulindeleke ukuthi ufinyelele amathani ayizigidi ezingu-54.39. /ngonyaka ka-2027, ukwanda ngo-45.19% uma kuqhathaniswa namathani ayizigidi ezingu-29.81/ngonyaka ngo-2022. Idivayisi ngayinye entsha isetshenziswa, kuzothatha iminyaka engu-2-3 ukugaya okukhiphayo okusha.Umphumela oqondile wenani elikhulu lamadivayisi asetshenziswa ngokuqhubekayo ukuthi ukungqubuzana phakathi kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo kuyaqhubeka nokukhuphuka, intengo yemakethe iyaqhubeka nokwehla, futhi inzuzo yamabhizinisi okukhiqiza iyehla noma ibuye ilahlekelwe.Imakethe futhi ihlale ibheka isiqondiso sokuthuthukiswa kanye nokusetshenziswa kwe-polyethylene ngemuva kokunwetshwa kwamandla.

Mayelana nezinhlobonhlobo, i-HDPE inomthamo omkhulu kakhulu, onamandla wonyaka wamathani ayizigidi eziyi-13.215/ngonyaka ngo-2022, ephakeme kunamathani ayizigidi eziyi-11.96 e-LLDPE/ngonyaka kanye ne-LDPE engamathani ayizigidi ezi-4.635/ngonyaka.Ngokuzayo, amandla okukhulisa i-HDPE angu-2023-2027 nawo angumkhulu, umthamo we-HDPE uhlala uphakeme kakhulu ezinhlotsheni ezintathu.

Okokuqala, ukulungiswa okuhleliwe kuyidivayisi ye-HDPE encane nangaphezulu

Kukhona amadivaysi amaningi okulungisa i-polyethylene kanye namadivayisi okuvuselela ahleliwe ngo-2022-2023, futhi iningi lawo ngamadivayisi we-HDPE.Kuyabonakala ukuthi ingcindezi ye-HDPE inkulu phakathi kwezinhlobo ezintathu ze-polyethylene.Ingcindezi yokukhiqiza i-HDPE, ingcindezi yenzuzo inkulu, funa indlela yokuphuma.

Okwesibili, inkambiso yentuthuko yesikhathi esizayo ye-HDPE

1. Qhubeka nokwandisa umthamo wokukhiqiza

Ngo-2022, kuzoba nabakhiqizi abahlanu kuphela be-polyethylene abanamandla angaphezu kwamathani ayizigidi ezingu-1, kodwa ngo-2025, inani kulindeleke ukuthi likhuphuke libe ngu-15, ukwanda ngamaphesenti angu-200, kuyilapho inani labakhiqizi be-polyethylene abanamandla amancane. amathani angaphezu kuka-500,000 azokwehla asuka ku-24 ngo-2022. Nakuba inani labakhiqizi be-polyethylene abanomthamo ongaphansi kwamathani angu-500,000 lizokwehla lisuka ku-24 ngo-2022 liye ku-22 ngo-2025. ukunciphisa izindleko kanye nokwandisa ukusebenza kahle, kanye nokwenza ngcono amandla okumelana nezingozi, okuphinde kube ngesinye sezizathu ezenza amabhizinisi okukhiqiza akhethe ukuqhubeka nokwandisa umthamo wokukhiqiza.I-HDPE ingxenye enkulu kakhulu yamandla okukhiqiza i-polyethylene, futhi iphinde ikhulise umthamo wokukhiqiza.

2. Khiqiza ama-niche brand anenzuzo ephezulu

Amabhizinisi okukhiqiza i-HDPE anganciphisa izindleko futhi akhulise ukusebenza kahle ngemva kokunwetshwa kwamandla, kodwa indawo yokuhlala yamadivayisi we-HDPE anamandla amancane azocindezelwa, ikakhulukazi izinga lobuchwepheshe basekhaya elikhona alikwazi ukukhiqiza imikhiqizo ephezulu, noma ukuhlela ukushintshela ku-niche high-end. imikhiqizo, njengezinto zokwakha zebhodlela, imiphongolo ye-IBC, izinto ze-PERT.Izinto ezibonakalayo zebhodlela, umgqomo we-IBC kanye nezinto ze-PERT zithuthuke kahle eminyakeni yamuva.Umkhiqizo wasekhaya usufinyelele amathani angama-270,200, amathani angama-67,800 kanye namathani angama-60,800 ngo-2022. Izinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lomkhiqizo ka-2019-2022 lingama-31.66%, 28.57% kanye nama-27.12% ngokulandelana, phakathi kwawo okuthembisayo kwe-PERT.Ukukhiqizwa kwasekhaya kulindeleke ukuthi kufinyelele kumathani angama-470,000 ngo-2025, okuzothatha ingxenye enkulu yezinto ezivela kwamanye amazwe.

3. Cindezela ingxenye yezinto ezithengwayo

Ukungenisa kwe-HDPE ngo-2019-2022 kusesimweni sokwehla kancane kancane.Ukuthengwa kwe-HDPE ngo-2022 kulindeleke ukuthi kufinyelele kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-6.1, kwehle ngo-23.67% kusukela ngo-2019, ngesilinganiso sokukhula esihlanganisiwe esingu-8.61% ngo-2019-2022.Ukukhiqizwa kwe-HDPE kukhuphuke kusuka kumathani ayi-7,447,500 ngo-2019 kuya kumathani ayi-1,110,600 ngo-2022, ngesilinganiso sokukhula esiyinhlanganisela esingu-13.94%.Ukukhiqizwa kwezwe le-HDPE kukhula kancane kancane, kucindezela isabelo semakethe yokungenisa, okungenye yezindlela eziyinhloko zokuthuthukiswa kwe-HDPE.Kodwa-ke, ngokwenyuka kancane kancane kokuhlinzekwa kwe-HDPE, intengo yemakethe ye-HDPE kulindeleke ukuthi ibe buthaka, futhi intengo ye-HDPE kulindeleke ukuthi yehle iye ku-8400 yuan/ton ngo-2025, yehle ngo-0.12% uma iqhathaniswa no-2022.

Ngakho-ke, ukuphikisana okuyinhloko ekuhlinzekeni kwemakethe ye-polyethylene, noma okugxilwe ezinhlobonhlobo ze-HDPE, umgwaqo wokuthuthukiswa kwe-HDPE wesikhathi esizayo unzima kakhulu.