izindaba

1. Ukuhlaziywa kwethrendi kwamandla okukhiqiza i-polyethylene emhlabeni wonke ngo-2018-2022

Kusukela ngo-2018 kuya ku-2022, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-polyethylene womhlaba wonke ubonise umkhuba wokukhula okuqhubekayo.Kusukela ngo-2018, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-polyethylene womhlaba wonke usungene esikhathini sokunwetshwa, futhi umthamo wokukhiqiza i-polyethylene ukhule kakhulu.Phakathi kwazo, ngo-2021, umthamo wokukhiqiza omusha we-polyethylene womhlaba wonke ukhuphuke ngo-8.26% uma kuqhathaniswa nalokho ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, umthamo wokukhiqiza omusha we-polyethylene emhlabeni wonke ungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-9.275.Ngenxa yomthelela wemicimbi yezempilo yomphakathi emhlabeni jikelele, izindleko eziphezulu ze-polyethylene kanye ne-inertia yokubambezeleka kwezindawo ezintsha zokukhiqiza, ezinye zezitshalo ekuqaleni ezazihlelelwe ukuqala ukukhiqiza ngo-2022 zibambezeleke kwaze kwaba ngu-2023, kanye nephethini yokuhlinzeka nesidingo se-polyethylene yomhlaba wonke. imboni isiqalile ukusuka ekunikezeni ibhalansi eqinile iye kumthamo oweqile.

2. Ukuhlaziywa kwethrendi komthamo wokukhiqiza i-polyethylene e-China kusuka ku-2018 kuya ku-2022

Kusukela ngo-2018 kuya ku-2022, isilinganiso sonyaka sokukhula komthamo wokukhiqiza we-polyethylene sikhuphuke ngo-14.6%, esikhuphuke sisuka kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-18.73 ngo-2018 saya kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-32.31 ngo-2022. ngaphezu kuka-45% ngaphambi kuka-2020, futhi i-polyethylene yangena emjikelezweni wokwandisa ngokushesha phakathi neminyaka emithathu kusukela ku-2020 kuya ku-2022. Amathani angaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-10 zomthamo omusha wokukhiqiza.Ngo-2020, ukukhiqizwa kukawoyela wendabuko kuzophulwa, futhi i-polyethylene izongena esigabeni esisha sokuthuthuka okuhlukahlukene.Eminyakeni emibili eyalandela, izinga lokukhula kokukhiqizwa kwe-polyethylene lehla futhi i-homogenization yemikhiqizo yenhloso evamile yaba bucayi.Ngokuya ngezifunda, umthamo osanda kukhuphuka ngo-2022 ugxile kakhulu eMpumalanga China.Nakuba umthamo osanda kunyuswa wamathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.1 eNingizimu yeChina udlula kakhulu owaseMpumalanga China, amandla eSouth China afakwa kakhulu ekukhiqizeni ngoDisemba, okungakaqinisekwa namanje, okuhlanganisa umthamo wamathani angu-120 we-petrochina, amathani angu-600,000 e-Hainan. ukucwenga kanye neChemical, kanye neyunithi yokukhiqiza ehlangene ye-EVA/LDPE engamathani angu-300,000 e-Gulei.Ukukhishwa kokukhiqiza kulindeleke ngo-2023, okunomthelela omncane ngo-2022. Eminyakeni yakamuva, amabhizinisi endawo e-East China aqala ukukhiqiza ngokushesha futhi athatha imakethe ngokushesha, okubandakanya amathani angu-400,000 e-Lianyungang Petrochemical kanye namathani angu-750,000 e-Zhejiang Petrochemical.

3. Isibikezelo sebhalansi yokuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo semakethe ye-polyethylene yaseChina ngo-2023-2027

I-2023-2027 isazoba isiqongo sokunwetshwa kwe-polyethylene e-China.Ngokwezibalo ze-Longzhong, cishe amathani ayizigidi ezingu-21.28 e-polyethylene kuhlelwe ukuthi afakwe ekukhiqizeni eminyakeni engu-5 ezayo, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi umthamo we-polyethylene waseChina uzofinyelela amathani ayizigidi ezingu-53.59 ngo-2027. Uma kucatshangelwa ukubambezeleka noma ukumiswa komshini, kulindeleke ukuthi umkhiqizo waseShayina uzofinyelela kumathani angama-39,586,900 ngo-2027. Ukwenyuka ngamaphesenti angama-55.87 ukusuka ku-2022. Ngaleso sikhathi, izinga lokuziphilisa laseShayina lizothuthukiswa kakhulu, futhi umthombo wokungenisa ezweni uzoshintshwa ngokwezinga elikhulu.Kodwa ngokombono wesakhiwo samanje sokungenisa, umthamo wokungenisa wezinto ezikhethekile zenza cishe i-20% yenani eliphelele lokungenisa le-polyethylene, futhi igebe lokuhlinzeka ngezinto ezikhethekile lizohamba kancane ukwenza isivinini.Ngokombono wesifunda, kusenzima ukubuyisela emuva imishini eyeqile ezifundeni zaseNyakatho-mpumalanga nasenyakatho-ntshonalanga.Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngemuva kokusebenza endaweni eyodwa kwemishini eSouth China, umkhiqizo oseNingizimu China uzoklelisa indawo yesibili eChina ngo-2027, ngakho-ke igebe lokuhlinzeka eNingizimu China lizoncishiswa kakhulu.